World economic Collapse - followed by War?
printWorld economic Collapse - followed by War?
All of a sudden, I hear about U.S. experts (what else) talking that this globalised crisis of the economics could be followed by a new world-war:
Reasons for a War
We have to consider that the average intelligence of governments and of the most important heads of industry, banking, controls of State, congresses etc. did never see coming any bubble.
They did not see the great crime of Friedman Shock Doctrine, making today collapse not only Stock exchanges, but all banks and funds and insurance, due to trillions in non-values in all Balance Sheets of big companies and investment funds - short, in any finance device on Earth.
So, we can say that since Hitler and Mussolini, since Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher, since Greenspan and Friedman, nothing has happened with regard to improve general dullness of average folks on this planet.
So, WAR as a last resort to hide the stupidity of Chiefs of State, Ministers, Dictators and Social quasi-Dictatorships, could well become a new reality soon - perhaps by 2015.
Reasons against War
We are lucky: We have a Democrat as President of the United States of America, we have Obama - and we have Merkel in Germany and we have Medvedev in Russia.
Under these conditions, war will most probably not be taken as a good solution, as long as other means can be taken, such as becoming normal again, forget Greed and Growth and accept the present State of Affairs and try to help the victims of the present Mafia-Capitalism.
However, as soon as the Republicans in the USA bring another Reagan or Bush into the play - and they have plentiful of idiots in reserve, same goes for Germany, England, France, Italy, Japan, China and India - we may have to reconsider the Question.
The general rule of average Stupidity in the world can be taken, not only to produce every 10 years a new economic bubble, but also every 50 years a new war.
You want to see proofs for this bold assertion about speculative excesses?
- 1636 to 1637 - Craze with Tulips in
- 1719 to 1720 - Plan of
- 1815 to 1816 - Waterloo-Speculation with raw material in
- 1847 to 1857 - Boom with Train industry and other scrap
- 1893 to 1894 - Mania with precious metals
- 1920 to 1922 - After World War Crisis - Ships, land in
- 1929 to
- 1973 to 1979 - First and second world-wide Oil-Shock
- 1987 to 1988 - Black Monday and following crisis
- 1990 to today - Japan in crisis with Nikkei and real estate
- 1997 to 1999 - Asia Crisis in
- 1996 to 2001 - Diverse Bubbles in technology, internet, telecom etc.
- 1994 to 2000 - Break down of economy and currency
- 2002 to 2007 - Bubble growing with U.S. Real Estate, Hedge funds Casino etc.
-
Uncertainty in future as to crazy behaviourism of humans may be an option, even more as not one Genius in economics can be seen, to grasp the true reasons for the present Breakdown of Systems and to make an analysis, how to come out of the collapse in politics, economics and ecology.
Well, under THESE conditions, types like me can write whatever they want. Intellect and understanding of complex mechanics is not the game of Parliaments, Governments and always duller getting average folks, bringing to power those butchers who always produced and still will produce Bubbles and Wars - as long as it still gets.
Rene Delavy, Berlin and Bournemouth
Author of some reports and books, you can see under www.rene-delavy.com