Some real idiots of scientists believe: The world would be crashed by a huge Rock coming out of the nowhere. This is true: All 150 millions of years, this is going to happen. Considering the time of 5000 history years for humanity, the chance for this catastrophe is one to 30000 in the next 5000 years. So, the chance for a Rock is one to 1'500'000 in the next 100 years.
It's typical that mad-gone humans are afraid more of science-fiction that of reality.
Another scenery being likely: One continent plate drops by hundred of yards and a tremendous Tsunami goes around the Globe and kills 10 millions. FOX-TV of Murdoch would cry a river, but in fact, only one person out of 700 has been killed. So, still 6,990,000,000 hungry mouths would be here to destroy our planet. Again not a real catastrophe - this Tsunami.
Humans can now get relieved from angst - the big disasters are not coming.
However, even more likely than Rock and Tsunami are some meters of water-level getting up in Oceans, due to collective stupidity of human mankind and melting North and South Pole - including deserts growing over China, Spain, Africa, USA, Australia and some parts of Middle Asia, based on human stupidity - killing be the end about one billion of folks - in most natural ways of life.
Don't be afraid, because even more likely would be that some idiotic Jews, Catholics and Evangelicans around Limbaugh would come and arrange a Wall Street Crash with derivative Junk and subprime greed. Result: We have a World economy Crisis, going over 10 years and killing several millions and let billions lose savings, pension funds, jobs, housing, health care and hope in State.
Well this is no longer a scenario of dope, it is REALITY.
But I have not yet mentioned the most likely Crash of all times to come:
- Some Karl Popper would tell students that the best world of them all, would be without controls of State and just free market - full with democracy = dictatorship of dull majorities, making the butchers to be their masters. This goes for ALL presently very loud and low intellectual philosophers on this Planet.
- Some Milton Friedman would preach a shock doctrine of nuts, telling: "Let to bankers, stock exchange junk, richest tax-free perpetrators, protected by ALL governments and parliaments of the world to do what ever passes by their very narrow brains, let them do what they want to do - and we have the best capitalistic system ever seen." - And some John Maynard Keynes would respond: "Just load trillions of debts on existing over-indebted USA to produce destructive growth - and this hegemonial U.S. craze will break down in pieces until 2025."
- Then Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher and Pinochet are born and should convince Russia and China and India to finance the disaster of 20 years of huge State deficits and crazy consumerism of U.S. and English greedy folks, and all nations would take profit out of it: For sure the richest tax-free junk with their companies in tax paradises like Switzerland, Luxembourg, Monaco, Channel Islands, Caribbean, Hong Kong, Singapore etc. - but middle class and poor will finance alone all State infrastructures and Armies and would be cosy and happy, because they can get rich themselves any time a year. Casino-bluff of the finest.
The true chance is one to a million, but VIP know: Easy believers can always be taken for stupid.
- Alan Greenspan, better known as Allah Spam de Greenhorn, would pop up under the instruction of Henry Kissinger, who killed folks in Vietnam, Chile, Argentine, in fact any country in the world, and say together with Wolfowitz: "Give all market forces complete full power in doing whatever they want - and we shall have greatest greed and growth and a Don't worry, be happy-Live. And let American doctrine be killing African structures by IMF and Worldbank or WEF and Sachs, and we shall see the best U.S. neo-conservative system ever seen throughout the spleeny world."
- Even later, some Lady of Morgan Bank will have the brightest idea of all and, copied by all bankers, create ABS, CDO, CDS and some other Las Vegas Junk of packaging zero-values in Triple "A" papers of Moody's. And 10000 experts in accounting, not to be financed by broken Nations, will be required, after 2009, to find out who the millions of debtors and the lost securities behind those City of London Securities were - and they will find too, that the debtors have got broke and the guarantees of value behind Junk Papers have gone for all times down the river to zero.
- And above all, U.S. Treasury Bonds in hands of Chinese government, will prove worthless, since not repayable by a broken USA, falling down from Hegemony - and other low IQ stupids to be found who took over such subprime junk, amounting to 100 trillions.
- Finally some GW Bush, Putin, Hu and Wen and Singh and Lula and Obama will pop up and declare: "Susan Sontag, sorry, Susan George of Attac promised us, that by little Kyoto steps, the complete breakdown of finances, sorry, of the atmosphere, by polluting water and air for all times, could be arranged by very little steps, and weather and climate situation, gone completely out of any control and balance, shall not kill by the end 7 billion folks."
Such a disaster can be prevented---- because we all are Geniuses---- Geniuses?
What a world, when all experts and philosophers know nothing of economics and reality
- Yesterday, almost no expert worldwide knew anything of the mess in America with coming crash at stock exchanges. Today, Obama and his whole team including all politicians and experts are still blind. And tomorrow, in 2010 or later, all philosophers and Obamas of the planet will cry: "How could we know that the re-establishment of junk papers and their debtors and guarantees would have needed 10000 accounting experts? And when they finished their work, we just will find out - it was in vain? Why the reasons were unknown, we should be forced to start with restating the facts with trillions in lost values in collateralised Junk - from zero----?"
And thus, the situation is worse in 2010 than in 1931, because contrary to 1929, it's impossible to come back on conditio ante - before 2006. Reason: The intelligence of humans and their complex "achievements" don't fit anymore - and this is so since 100 years.
Conclusion in view of the World Clash of Civilisation:
Compared to the ROCK mentioned at the beginning of the story, with a chance of one to about 2 millions, the actually 100 percent real "one to one" scenario explained here, the presently lived scheme of existence, can be called "peanuts" - don't you think so?
I said in some other text, that the world's Philosophers and Popes and Governments prepared the intellectual basis for the complete breakdown of systems in economy, ecology, politics and resources, due to stupidity, belief in growth and greed, in higher value of explosion of population, exceeding any points of feasibilities by one to 50.
And now, the masses can come from inside and outside of Slums - and will shout: "Who the hell is responsible for this grandiose mess? Who the hell killed us and the planet? Who has smashed in a Clash all hopes of our future children? Who are the perpetrators to be put on the highest tree or in front of a Wall in Berlin, Washington or Jerusalem?"
Well, there are no easy answers, since all 7 billion of folks got nuts, were made blind and dull by all big heads and media of the planet - except for one single writing person.
Under these conditions, it is religion or philosophy or the Jews and Catholics and Atheists at Wall Street in Kyoto, after Hiroshima bomb and Russia crimes in Chechnya and some African killing in Rwanda and some idiotic U.S. and Beijing Congresses, who are responsible for the inhuman mess and the Clash----
Take just all bankers and presidents and prime ministers of these days, and you can't be wrong.
To be honest: Responsible of the Craze of humanity after the year 2000, is the belief in a ROCK coming from another galaxy down on Earth - because Murdoch and Berlusconi and Narkozy inclusive Fukuyama, Habermas and Levy and Greenspan and Netanyahu and Bin Laden said so in order to make you blind for real dangers.
Just believe in your boulevard trash of World-Media, making you duller and blinder each new day.
And you, poor folks, have always to take for granted, in what the great VIPs, the brainless Big-Shots, tell you the whole year long - always the same nonsense - and you are there, full of expectations, not to be fulfilled---- and then ---- CLASH!
Rene Delavy, Berlin and Bournemouth
Author of "CHAOS" / "Obama and Putin have a splendid time" / "No mercy for Stupidity of the Elite" and some other nice stories