René Delavy

CHINA - Collapse coming soon

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CHINA - Collapse coming soon

CHINA - Collapse coming soon

CHINA - Present situation and future collapses

 

Out of book "CHAOS" - Chapter "China" - Translated from German language

 

It appears that not one single human knows what happened with China and what is still going to happen. In fact, the situation is very easy to analyse: China was one of the last countries under communistic government. China respected state control in economy, finances stayed somehow in equilibrium and as a result, there was almost no state indebtedness in the records of China. On the other side and as an effect, the social product of the increase in GROWTH was not at all gigantic which from a western standpoint was seen as a huge economic weakness. But all this changed fundamentally when the political conductors and dictators of that State ordered an opening in direction of capitalism and immediately, some "privileged" parts of China were dismissed into an erroneous "Freedom of Market".

As we will see in the coming years, all this was a crime that will show its ugly face in the fast growing areas first, ongoing about the year 2010.

Immediately after liberation of market, the figures of growth in economy started to raise rapidly, always accelerating, same to be said of NATIONAL gross product, prices for real estate, values at stock exchange, but far more valid, sorry to say, for the equally raising figures for DEBTS in any respect we may think of, in particular a first indebtedness of State, and - without the world getting to understand the EFFECTS, it will be seen in future that these debts became gigantesk, whereas the U.S. "Cash" (US Treasury Bonds and Fanny Mortgage Fantasies) on the active side was going to become an illusion.

It is normal and natural that all western countries, in first line USA, Leader of neo-liberal Shock doctrine, and its media, applauded and clapped hands like idiots and were full of praise for the NEW China (comparable to NEW Europe - another dirt of mind) - and at the same time forgot the human rights that went down the drain. Well, the last point is somehow justifiable because the misuse of human rights in other States, especially in the USA, and their deadly influence in other nations, is much huger than the crimes in China. However, the immense force of the events in economic dimensions would not be grasped, not by one single human, being INDOCTRINATED at any universities or by any media worldwide. And therefore, all could have gone its normal way until its bitter end, without a mouse making a squeal, if there would not be this god-damned writer Delavy.

This "brainless" Delavy is now predicting here that China was growing for sure faster as any nation before - but later, this China will collapse too, earlier and much faster, except USA, as any nation before. Why? Very easy to see: China ran into all MISTAKES OF REASONING, old communism would never have done, with its contemplative agrarian, artisan and bikers-State, with his limitation of growth of population and with a life where think- and life-structures were comparably normal, slow and intact. But by the monumental EXPLOSION of towns, industry, high ways, airports, cars by millions and new cash illusions, in Hong Kong, Shanghai, Beijing etc. based on a Macao Casinos of pure fantasy, new power stations and monster-barrages at rivers and coal burning criminality and other stupidities in masses, we could see a fast GROWING OF CHAOS getting soon out of control: Westernising of reasoning and thinking, taking over false theorems of philosophy and deadly rules of economics, citizen taking up a shocking debt doctrine, same for the companies and the nation as such, changing places of "real values" to "shareholder values", craziness at stock exchange, deepness of thoughts, of natural being in sane ecologic conditions, normality of peaceful life exchanged by hectic capitalistic values of shares, bonds, treasury bonds of zero future value - in short, a methodical and dramatic drowning down in a CASINO-money world.

Not that our China of "BEFORE" should be idealised somehow, no, not one country in the world has ever been perfect and made similar stupidities too. China only had not yet followed the gigantic false interpretation of capitalistic thinking - that's all. But now, this land started, like before Japan and South Korea (as Europe and Russia as well), to finance the immense State indebtedness of USA and its underlying monster-deficits, resulting from a NEO-CONSERVATIVE kitchen-thinking of Ronald and GW Bush, based on wrong geo-financial conclusions (see letter "Theorists of economics destroy future of our Planet"), which in fact were in favour of letting create the future financial collapse of United States of America, of the Dollar and of U.S. Treasury Bonds.

By this effect, the Chinese (and other States) bought junk without a glimpse of presentiment, showing up as NON-VALUES in the future in masses, and undertook a coming self-destruction of own economics, because the power of this DOMINO-PLAY when the collective break-down of capitalistic world-structures will going to start, not one eye will be left dry. And it will not leave one single State aside, and certainly not a State that had the idiotic idea of leaving social order aside in order to inherit a model of national failure in planning. The capitalistic CHAOS of "Everything goes", when individual freedom is restricted to the top richest VIP, would always have gone on the account of societies morals and true ecological values in landscapes, rivers, water, agrarian structures, as well as of human correctness, ethics and respect, with regard to cultural achievements from the past.

Again take a fundamental rule: Everything that seems very, very complex, is in fact very easy to analyse - and whatever seems to be easy, is in fact of highest complexity. Mass phenomenon are much easier to analyse then details of life because of the law with great figures. And so, in the year 2020, at the latest, all the mentioned SINS OF THE PAST, to have entered the TGV high speed train of total greed, will have proven to have been from the start a gigantic ERROR OF MIND. But by then, even China, having been before quite AUTARK and autonomous, will be shattered to the ground - what with by then near 2 billion of folks would not be a childish play-station game.

This breakdown, in conjunction with USA, Japan, yes, in fact all countries of the world (because by then all nations will have jumped on that EXPRESS-TRAIN of stupid capitalism), will be so huge, that the whole media-world will stand in the woods and shout: "Why the hell did no one see coming the disaster with the exception of this most stupid Delavy?" And with the "super-fast model" of China, the whole process of false planning can be studied best, because the ERRORS in economics of cash-oriented LIBERALISM will have gone through in China within only 20 years when it needed 100 years in the "Old World". This is to say: only as MODEL today's China can still serve, as a State of Will and late victim of U.S. ideas of FRIEDMAN greed economics in favour of the richest, a doctrine of almightiness coming from USA. Salvation? Yes, if China will now try to make a final fundamental CHANGE to new borders or find a track back to socialism. But as it is now, any such steps would come by far too late.

And what does all this mean with regard to the so-called super-human intellect of Think-Tanks and other organisations who believed, that the collecting and joining of brains in total emptiness of thoughts could guarantee to the globe a JUMP OF SCIENCE and knowledge, far above any philosophy of the past? It means that an accumulation of spiritual emptiness and stupidity does never produce a raise of knowledge and perceptions - on the contrary. The more idiots try to think the wrong rules, the higher will be the final downfall. So, just one well functioning brain with universal sight counts thousand times more than an average of thousands of spirits with zero sight all together.

We can see the result now: China could either be warned in the passed years nor kept back from its own disastrous breakdown. And with this fact, the fairy-tale of feasibility about a headless TRANSFORMATION of an odd socialism towards a bright shining capitalism comes to an end. What a pity! It would have been too nice if all those U.S.-friendly artists in thinking-models had at least found a fraction of true intelligence and feasibility and thus would have proven its value that would have been necessary to pluck the whole disaster in friendliness. -- Illusions, Chinese will-o'-the-wisp, madness of the Third Kind, made in HOLLYWOOD. The whole world is now on the way to be a model-case in errors and belief in false theorems of economics and ECOLOGY, since critical reasoning was being replaced by a mindless greed for money and a superficial adoring of "importance" of VIP without value.

Could all this have happened without the low IQ "Leader-Nation" USA? Difficult to judge. Even a world-community starts to stink from the head of a fish - and thus the short-sightedness of thinking has always been accompanied and enforced by the UNO, the European "CULTURES" who too plaid the play in full, the aping-copyists in Asia, the blind victims in Africa and the tortured intelligentsia in South and Central America. They did not know what they were doing. But above all, the "reasoning" and shreddering of "facts" in WORLD MEDIA, has left deadly tracks to human mankind. Result: vanity as expression of a predominance-doctrine of one single State, USA, who had his value around 1945 when finalizing together with Ex-Soviet-Union a horrible World War, when capitalism and communism worked hand in hand, but this nice starting model was replaced thereafter due to USA starting COLD WAR, a terrible mix of craziness in belief of technological feasibilities and an odd faith in hegemonial supremacy.

And out from this extremely restricted sight in matters of "economic freedom" was born, by Karl Popper, Milton Friedman and their CHICAGO elementary school-BOYS, an economic and political Ronald-Bush theorem of highest simplicity, that swept over the whole globe, and made all human activity to end in a terrifying CHAOS thus finalising with a possible easy life in a world maintained as paradise. All the instruments for that development would have been invented.

Question: Had another big nation, thinking in high ethics, other than this deluded USA done better? Had another Leader kept the sceptre in the last 50 years, would neither China nor the rest of world have equally run in the present incredibly stupid TRAP OF CAPITALISM? Possible... It would have for certain been much better for our planet when the rest of world outside USA and Europe would followed other ways, had believed in some more liveable philosophies of their own in the last 50 years. Neo-liberalism was by far the greatest theoretical Junk, when put in practice, ever seen in the Universe, as everyone can see today if not completely blinded.

The spiritual reality of humanity should have been influenced by the best DOCTRINES coming out of China, India, Russia, Africa, South America, instead of all nations being bluffed by the crazy-gone fantasies of feasibilities, on both sides of the Iron Curtain, which all will come to an end, within the next 10 to 20 years, through a horrible collapse of money-politics and ecological disasters of highest idiocy.

Chinese, you want to hear some good advices for salvation from "genius" Delavy, after having believed in Mao, Deng, Zemin, Hu and Wen? Okay: With 1400 million people you have one billion too many. Cannot change it. Water and air quality are what they are in 2008, times of Olympics. Sorry...

You have created a technological GADGET-WORLD for greedy men and hedonist women, based on lowest intellect. Instead of investing in quality of live for peasants and home workers, already under Mao, you decided for heavy industry for world's cheap mass production when resources are vanishing, for stinking cars by millions, plane-travels, mega-towns, in favour only of richest oligarchs and you can present the most corrupt officials, in every town, all districts and record with 3000 Big Heads in Beijing.

You wanted American gigantism. Now you have it: Roll back the whole futuristic COLLAPSE POTENTIAL slowly and try not to see the debt towers and the clubs of ecology smash some 1300 million of folks. If you succeed, you may have found a real universal genius, and his name will not be Bush, Greenspan or Hu and Wen.

Will the 3000 blind CONGRESS members in Beijing and some other hundred of thousands of CORRUPT OFFICIALS, who forgot the aims of MAO, only re-understand the requirements of this huge and poor country, when 900 millions of PEASANTS and poorest WORKERS will have slaughtered about 100 million of privileged Chinese or let starve all those horrible mega-TOWNS (some goes for India and many other lands treating the land people as third class humans), those egoistical profiteers of a regime without any ethics and morals?

Simply be sure of this rule: As always, if the poor masses of victims eliminate by revolutions their perpetrators, just another ELITE of master skunks will get into their foot steps. Politicians never are interested in justice, their only LIFE GOAL is their own importance and re-election. That's life, not only in China. These were and still are the basic results of pretended human rights and missing philosophy, throughout humanity, at all times - today 2008 more than ever before.

All written (with a few adds later), short before the total breakdown of systems, sorry to say, all written on January 11, 2004, five o'clock of a breaking Sunday - with a beautiful light of the raising sun far away at the horizon on the other side of an Alpine Lake.

 

Rene Delavy, Berlin and Bournemouth

Author of "CHAOS" / "Russians admire hypocrite Putinism" / "Most rotten Rogue-State - USA" and some other nice stories on England, France, Japan, India, South Africa, Switzerland and its Bank secret and other nice things, people might like to know

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 Translate this German text in English or Chinese, otherwise China runs into the "Wall of China"

 

Es scheint, dass kein Mensch genau weiss, was mit China geschehen ist und noch geschehen wird. Dabei ist alles ganz einfach: China war eines der letzten kommunistisch regierten Länder. China hielt sich an eine Staatsplanung der Wirtschaft, die Finanzen blieben damals einigermassen im Lot und als Folge wurde auch praktisch keine Staatsverschuldung ausgewiesen. Dafür waren das Bruttosozialprodukt und die Steigerungsraten in der Wirtschaft nicht gerade gigantisch. Dies änderte sich fundamental, als die politische Leitung des Staates die Öffnung hin zum Kapitalismus verorderte und Teilgebiete von China in die freie Marktwirtschaft entlassen wurden.

Sofort stiegen die Zahlen für Wirtschaftswachstum, Bruttosozialprodukt, Liegenschaftspreise, Aktienbörsen, doch weit stärker stiegen die Zahlen der Schulden allerorten, insbesondere die Staatsverschuldung, ebenfalls ins Gigantische. Natürlich applaudierten alle westlichen Länder, allen voran die USA, Leader des neoliberalen Gedankens, und lobten China über den grünen Klee und vergassen darob die Menschenrechtsverletzungen. Letzteres leuchtete zwar ein, denn schliesslich sind die Menschenrechtsverletzungen von anderen Staaten, insbesondere auch der USA, viel gewaltiger als jene in China. Doch die Wucht des Geschehens in wirtschaftlichen Dimensionen wurde einmal mehr von keinem Menschen an den Universitäten oder in den Medien begriffen. Deshalb hätte jetzt eigentlich alles in Minne verlaufen können, wenn nicht dieser blöde Delavy wäre.

Denn dieser Delavy sagt nun voraus, dass China sicherlich schneller wachsen wird als jede andere Nation der Welt je zuvor - dass dann aber dieses China auch schneller kollabieren wird als jede andere Nation zuvor. Warum? Ganz einfach: China holt alle Fehler auf, die der Kommunismus nicht begangen hat, mit seinem beschaulichen Agrar-, Handwerker- und Radfahrerstaat, mit seiner Beschränkung bei der Kindererzeugung und den einigermassen intakten Denk- und Lebensstrukturen. Mit dem monumentalen Anwachsen von Städten, Industrien, Autobahnen, Flughäfen, Kraftwerke, Flussausnutzungen und anderem Blödsinn gingen einher: Die Verwestlichung des Denkens, die Verschuldung der Bürger und des Staates, die Verschiebung von Echtwerten in Börsenwerte, von Werten des Denkens, des Seins, hin zu den kapitalen Werten der Aktien, Obligationen, Treasury Bonds, kurz, der Weltbörsen.

Nicht dass das China von "vorher" irgendwie zu idealisieren gewesen wäre, nein, perfekt ist kein Land der Welt, China hatte lediglich die gigantischen Fehlinterpretationen des kapitalistischen Denkens noch nicht nachvollzogen gehabt, das ist schon alles. Doch nun ging dieses Land, wie Japan und Südkorea, daran, die riesige Staatsverschuldung der USA und die dahin führenden Monsterdefizite aus der neokonservativen Denkküche eines George W. Bush aus geldpolitischen Überlegungen heraus zu finanzieren und damit den künftigen Kollaps der USA, seiner Währung und seiner Staatspapiere, mitzufördern. Damit erwarben sie nichts ahnend Non-Valeurs der Zukunft zu Hauff und betrieben damit die eigene Selbstzerstörung der Wirtschaft, denn die Gewalt der Dominospiels beim Gesamtzusammenbruch der kapitalistischen Weltstrukturen wird kein Auge trocken lassen und somit auch keinen Staat verschonen, schon gar nicht einen Staat, der sich vom sozialistischen Modell der staatlichen Fehlplanung ablenken liess und das kapitalistische Chaos des Alles-geht, auch in Bezug auf die Vernichtung von Echtwerten der Landschaft, von Agrarstrukturen, von Menschlichkeit und von Kulturerhalt, vorzog.

Es ist alles ist ganz einfach: Im Jahr 2020, spätestens, werden diese Sünden der Vergangenheit, in den Zug der totalen Geldgier eingestiegen zu sein, sich als katastrophaler Denkirrtum erwiesen haben und dann ist halt auch China, das zuvor ziemlich autark war, am Boden zerstört, was bei weit über einer Milliarde Menschen kein Kinderspiel sein wird. Dieser Zusammenbruch, in Verbund mit den USA, Japan, ja, eigentlich aller Staaten der Welt, denn schliesslich sind nun alle auf den Zug der Kapitalismus aufgesprungen, wird so gigantisch sein, dass man sich wundern wird, warum ihn nur ein gewisser Delavy kommen sah. Und am Beispiel von China wird man die ganze Falschheit des Denkmodells am besten studieren können, denn die Fehlplanungen des geldwirtschaftlichen Liberalismus wird sich an China innerhalb von zwanzig Jahren vollzogen haben. Nur als Modell eignet sich China jetzt noch; als Staat und als Alternative zu den USA und der von diesem Staat ausgehenden Allmachtsdenken hat sich China fundamental verabschiedet.

Und was besagt dies alles über die sogenannte geballte Intelligenz von Think-Tanks und anderen Organisationen, die glauben, mit zusammengeschalteten Hirnen der totalen Leere einen Wissenssprung nach oben bewirken zu müssen? Es besagt, dass eine Kumulation von geistiger Leere und Dummheit keine Steigerung an Wissen und Erkenntnissen erzeugt. Ein einziges funktionierendes Hirn wiegt millionenfach mehr als alle mittelmässigen Geister der Welt zusammen.

Und so konnte auch China vor dem Zusammenbruch weder gewarnt noch zurückgehalten werden. Leider. Und damit endet das Märchen von der Machbarkeit einer Umwandlung vom öden Sozialismus hin zum strahlenden Kapitalismus. Eigentlich schade. Wäre so schön gewesen, alle US-freundlichen Denkmodellkünstler hätten wenigstens einen Bruchteil an wahrer Intelligenz und Machbarkeit bewiesen, die nötig gewesen wäre, das ganze Debakel wenigstens freundlich abfedern zu lassen. Illusionen, chinesische Irrlichtereien. Die ganze Welt wird nun zum Modellfall für alle Irrtümer des Denkens, wenn kritische Vernunft durch Geldgier ersetzt wird.

Wäre dies alles ohne einen Leaderstaat wie die USA nicht passiert? Schwer zu beurteilen. Auch eine Weltgemeinschaft beginnt offenbar vom Kopf her zu stinken und somit wird die Kurzsichtigkeit des Denkens begleitet und verstärkt in der UNO, die europäischen Kulturen spielen das Spiel mit, die Nachäffer in Asien, Afrika und Südamerika wissen nicht was sie tun, doch vor allem ist es das Denken in den Medien, das hier verheerend wirkt. In der Folge und als Ausfluss des Vorherrscherdenkens eines Staates, der sich um 1945 verdient machte einen fürchterlichen Weltkrieg beendet zu haben, wurde in Zusammenwirkung mit dem kommunistischen Sowjetreich ein fürchterlicher Mix aus Machbarkeitswahn und Hegemonialdenken erzeugt und aus dieser eingeschränkten Sicht der Dinge in Sachen "wirtschaftliche Freiheit" wurde einer wirtschaftlichen und politischen Theorie zum Durchbruch verholfen, die im Chaos enden wird.

Hätte ein wirklich ethisch denkender Staat und nicht diese verblendete USA in den letzten fünfzig Jahren das Szepter geführt, wäre dann weder China noch der Rest der Welt in diese einfältige Kapitalfalle gerannt? Möglich. Es wäre für die Welt sicher besser gewesen, wenn die Restwelt in den letzten fünfzig Jahren auch etwas besser mitgedacht und das menschliche Geistesleben mitbestimmt hätte statt sich verblüffen zu lassen von planerischen Machbarkeitsphantasien, diesseits und jenseits des Eisernen Vorhangs, die doch nur noch in einem geldpolitischen Kollaps enden können.

Alles geschrieben noch vor dem Zusammenbruch aller Systeme, leider, am 11. Januar 2004, um fünf Uhr des anbrechenden Sonntags.

  

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